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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Tony on May 01, 2006, 08:38:56 AM

Title: Two key horses to Derby
Post by: Tony on May 01, 2006, 08:38:56 AM
We are making this too difficult here. Your two key horses to spread around in the exotics are SNS and BD. Either of these two should win or finish second or third.

The strategy for saturday is how to construct the bet around these 2 horses keeping it affordable.
Title: Re: Two key horses to Derby
Post by: jimbo66 on May 01, 2006, 10:49:11 AM
Tony,

Come up with a strategy that makes it affordable, and makes it a smart bet, keying around those two horses.

We have a 20 horse field and you want to key around the 1st and 2nd favorites (or possibly 1st and 3rd favorites).

If you are going to throw some bombs in, you will get your value.  But keying the top two choices in the 1st, 2nd and 3rd slots, is not a recipe for a good value bet.  

Too many things can go wrong in a 20 horse field.  If history in this race has taught us anything, it is that you can\'t bet chalk in the Derby, especially now that we have the really big fields.

Title: Re: Two key horses to Derby
Post by: Tony on May 01, 2006, 10:56:52 AM
We are not on the same page

something like:

2/6/6/12
6/2/6/12

One of them runs out your talking big bucks