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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Tony on April 30, 2006, 08:14:21 PM

Title: For NC Tony CTC etc.
Post by: Tony on April 30, 2006, 08:14:21 PM
I always swing for the fences on Derby Day BC day etc. For now it looks like either SNS or BD are my go to horses in the Super. I am looking to wheel both or one of those in the 1,2, and three hole in the super. My 2nd tier horses are Barbaro, Lawyer, Point Determined, Jazil, Bob and John, and AP warrior. Looking to go about 2k deep in combinations maybe.

Any thoughts on the front end of the bet? IMO BD has all the traits of a Derby winner or has to be 2nd or 3rd. He is this years Afleet Alex. SNS make me nervous if JB cranks his prep up to a lower #.

Title: Re: For NC Tony CTC etc.
Post by: NoCarolinaTony on April 30, 2006, 08:30:21 PM
All I can say would be you would be remiss to totally exclude SM. Once every 8-10 years you get a wire to wire horse. Is this that year? at 8% probability he\'s worth a throw in because a) he\'s the fastest horse, and b) Baffert is hot as hell, and c) Baffert has won the Derby before vs Trombetta or Matz. How many more Servis and Ritchey and Taggs we going to have in a row? and d) the value will be there for the fastest horse.

NC Tony

I will post my play after the PP Draw and a few more works.

NC Tony

Title: Re: For NC Tony CTC etc.
Post by: Tony on April 30, 2006, 08:38:21 PM
I hear you. I was thinking more to toss him in the third and fourth slots as a saver.
Depends on works and odds.

Can you give me a heads up if somebody is working lights out.

Would appreciate it.