please post your thoughts on cd r5 6/15.
I used favorites in the early races in large pk3 bets. That fifth race actually cost me quite a bit of money. I don\'t remember the exact details, but I think I pegged the favorite running in the 11 range, a few points faster than the rest. As it turned out, he was the fastest, but Perret did everything in his power to lose the race. I usually judge the jockey angle well, but I made two major errors on that card; singling a horse that Perret was on, and not realizing there was a very good chance that Bailey would kick Day\'s ass in the 3 yr old race. When Bailey rides on these big days, and the three other greats (Mccarron, Stevens, and JR) are not there to challenge him, it usually turns into a one man show. (I don\'t think here was much he could do against Spain, Lucas had her so wound up she was not going to lose that race to anybody)
the reason I ask, is that I think that was the race where the 6yo first time starter won(?).
I also thought the chalk was fastest, but pegged him to react a couple points, leaving him w/i reach of a couple others because of anticipated trips and weight.
I used him w/kessinger\'s horse, who I thought could move up a couple points + save ground, and the 3 (muy bien chris), who was a big price.
so, this 6 yo first timer is a well deserved 30-1 ml, and he\'s suddenly 8-1 early.
no particular turf breeding, no flashy works, no supertrainer, no nothing but some owner \'in the know\', maybe.
well, 8-1 was horrible on a rat that should\'ve been 60-1, so I bet the horses *I* like, and go get some meatloaf and mashed potatoes.
next thing I know, that little snake drifts back up to 36-1 and torpedoes my tickets!
somebody cashed nice on that race.
was that that f.....g Double Negative horse??
I saw the exact same thing. I put question marks next to two horses (he being one of them), and even wrote down \"watch the board\" next to his name. Then I saw him at 10-1 early, and knew there had to be a least a few inside shekels on him, but still ignored it. A very tough beat indeed, especially since I never noticed the odds drift from 10-1 up to 30-1 (I think it was even higher).
I won\'t bet a horse like that either.What a rat race that was ,I used Muy Bien Chris as well ( tried to take a stand against the fave with the post position ) races like this really get me down ,and make me question if it\'s all worth it .
ah, don\'t let it bother you.
there are always plenty more chances every day, day after day.
win or lose, you know you\'ll be back for more.
Well, there were a few first time starters in the race. I think the other two who had a bit of turf breeding opening up at 35-1, and the six year old Double Negative gelding opened at 8-1. I don\'t see how a horse racing fan could have had the horse, but a good gambler should have taken notice and expanded their pk3 tickets by $10 or $20. I guess you learn something new every day.