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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Tony on April 27, 2006, 06:45:24 PM

Title: Derby thoughts
Post by: Tony on April 27, 2006, 06:45:24 PM
Brother Derek- smooth solid line - ran close to 12 second furlongs in final prep - 25 and under final quarter- 13 and under 1/8 in final prep - raise a native sire line - has all the traits - like afleet alex key in exotics 1,2,3, hole

lawyer ron - nice smooth line - nervous he will get cooked on front - did not come home in under 25 gets a piece?

Barbaro - ran close to 12 second furlongs in prep - decent line looks like a forward move but the layoff is a big factor - no horse since 1950\'s won off this kind of layoff pairs number?

Bob and john - crawled home in wood off tough early fractions - raise a native sire line - look like he\'s getting better - maybe to close to lead could get a piece

Sinister min - you  bet him off one race not me - I have learned my lesson - bounce to the moon

Jerry - please take a stand on this one it\'s so anti winner line

Private Vow - too lightly raced this year - pairs the number - not crazy about him - raise a native sire line - possible suck up for fourth - not a good derby line

AP Warrior - this one interest me - 25 and under final eigth in prep - could suprise for a piece

SNS - If the last # is accurate has an awesome line - like BD a foundation in your exotics - if he moves again its all over - final eigth in 13 and under - final 1/4 in 25 and under - ran close to 12\'s one back - NO raise a native sire line -
a winner\'s kind of derby line

More to come........
Title: Re: Derby thoughts
Post by: NoCarolinaTony on April 27, 2006, 07:46:09 PM
Hey Tony-

Don\'t know why your so anti Sinister Minister. We get your disdain. You and Chuckles should duke it out in some room somewhere.

Me the other Tony (NC) I for one am waiting to see how SM works. If the horse wrks very good, I might just unload, with Keyed Entry, BD,SNS,Barbaro and Jazil all underneath. Call me nuts if you will, but at 15-1 or better, I\'m playing poker.

NC Tony
Title: Re: Derby thoughts
Post by: flushedstraight on April 28, 2006, 10:00:31 AM
Nothing nuts at all about that...

what would be nuts is sticking with SM in the event his odds are significantly lower than what you\'re demanding now, which is a real possibility. Prepare to stay with the plan and take alternate action if necessary.

Then again, my Derby angle this year is divine intervention as one hole after another open up for Bejarano as the popular choice in the great clubhouse in the sky takes the roses. I\'ll take the insanity of believing that over the insanity of (me) trying to make sense out of this bunch.