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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: spa on November 12, 2005, 03:29:05 AM

Title: ROTW
Post by: spa on November 12, 2005, 03:29:05 AM
My Typhoon 60% to run a #4...that\'s plenty good enough. Flip Isla and Envied for second with Elle Runaway fourth. A super race......
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: davidrex on November 12, 2005, 09:23:30 AM

Without looking at t.g. summary,


Have My Typhoon at 5 or better...jerry does pairs +/- 1.

Pulling out of 9 hole is going to cost her.
She may well be odds on.could achieve a 6 or better...hell she could do a 3 ,but by then its a matter of how much a horse wins by.

Flying Circle looks badly spotted by trainer.That 3 1/2 looks awfully tempting and at 15/1 he goes in my exotics.Also has outside in his disfavor.

Silver Cup is biancone/stephens combo that I didn\'t think to be together.Anyway hes\' 4/1 ...trainer much better 1st off lay...looking to drop off this one if morning line correct.

Be Envied Late starter...not really trainer change in true sense....12/1...good 1st dist. ..not showing well w/3yr olds..will definitely use in exotics!!

Isla Cozzene will be closing...has top jock...moved up 2 pts.last...canini better 2nd off the change than 3rd...3/1 line...toss his hind parts!!!

Mnila Fudge..more fresh meat...paired up 1st dist...not much turf in blooodlines...has had 2 months since 1st top(friedman angle) and could jump up big today...15/1 line...OH YEAH!!

What a great rotw..its\' got everything you like to see in a late 3 yr old encounter.....now to read what t.g. thinks...chancees are 50/50 I\'ll be back.

PARTYpokerON!

Elle Runaway..Long campaign...3 pt jump...not at any price...last # was going so wide,she might need 2 miles for her stamina to wear down opponents!




 
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: Michael D. on November 12, 2005, 11:54:01 AM
Be Envied looks interesting. A half to Burning Roma, by Lemon Drop Kid (two of my favorites from a few years back), she should handle 1/16m well. I like the trainer switch. The rail and Borel up - she should save ground. Won\'t get ML of 12-1, but odds will be decent. Key.
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: davidrex on November 12, 2005, 12:01:47 PM


Nice to have you back Michael!
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: Michael D. on November 12, 2005, 12:08:38 PM
hahah.... tough to solve things in the abstract. very easy to solve things at the windows..... not a strong play here, but i like the TG analysis.
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: davidrex on November 12, 2005, 02:22:16 PM


all chalk,what with two defections!!?