Having a bad day today. My horse in Belmont\'s fifth fell and I suspect was put down cause Durkin had nothing to say.
But I got good odds on a longshot for the Acorn. I don\'t have her bet to win but if she does I\'ll be alright. Really it\'s a monumental stretch to keep the two favorites from finishing one-two, but with the scratch of Prospector..willa on the move may inherit the lead
That perfecta was 70 bucks one minute before the race. Someone dropped some money on Willa...but the Frankel Mojo is in full swing.
lol
May? You mean will. She looks a lot less likely to bounce on TG & her last no. was competitive on both. However,I liked her a lot better with PG in the race & the best value may be in the Acorn-Bel double.
I lost track of the time doing my post re tomorrow & missed seeing the race, in which You apparently got the lead & set a new stakes record, with Willa 2nd. I hope this isn\'t a portend of things to come.
\"She looks a lot less likely to bounce on TG \"
all horses look less likely to bounce on TG.
TG deserves credit for hosting this contest & engaging in & promoting a most interesting debate on figure-making, a subject which should be of interest to any serious player. In light of the interest generated, perhaps a real $$ contest sometime in the future?
Yes, Superfreakicus, horses often do look less likely to bounce on TG, which is consistent with the statistics & reality & one of the edges TG is helping identify winners,IMHO. 13-1 Willa\'s second in yesterday\'s Acorn is a perfect example. She didn\'t bounce, & was eminently playable off TG in a race where a 3/2 horse set a stakes record & the exacta paid $34(Tabi says it was $70 up to right before post). Let me suggest that this pt would be a lot clearer & more meaningful to you if you had taken me up on my $1k challenge on this race.
I\'m sure it would have.
how many have you put down tonight?
I put both Bella and You over Willa. In hindsight I should have had the insight to weight You on top more heavily. Not only was Bella coming off a very fast figure her blood count went off after the race. More evidence for the bounce? Perhaps.