This question is on pairing up numbers. What are the good and bads when a horse ( 3yo ) pairs up a top. Say what factors goes into capping next out?? Maybe was the first number a big jump-up, or timing into the 3rd race, maybe the TGI has some part into it. I\'m talking about say a horse has a 6.1 at two and then runs a 3.1 and then another 3.1, how to cap next out?? Thanks. I\'ll try to come up with some horses from the past that had this.
Horse\'s from the past coming into the derby off this. WILD HORSES-WAR EMBLEM-EASY GRADES-ANEES-SAARLAND-MEDAGLIA D\'ORO-EMPIRE MAKER-BORREGO-PEACE RULES-FIFTY STARS. 3 out of the 10 either tripled-up or ran a new top. Six of them had nice forward moving lines and was never set back. Only one of them paired-up.
Indeed you mention the salient factors: 1. development to date--how much, how soon--as framed by its TGI; and 2. timing into the next race. The trainer, strengths and weaknesses, and race distance might play a part as well. Over the long run one gets a sense of what to expect. But there is no hard and fast answer as each horse is its own individual.
Yes, I though of that later on also, the individual factor. For the most part it\'s read as a positive read?? Or maybe it\'s when they come back around to a old top and pair it up.