Before reading the analysis, I want to say Screen Idol looks like the best horse, and will probably be overlaid as well.
He is cross entered in the Classic, so he may not even go. Off to read now...
$20 supers 1/8/2/5 1/8/5/2 8/1/2/5 8/1/5/2 $10 tris 1/8/2 1/8/5 good luck everyone!!!!!!
Well, the 1 scratched, lets try bombs away on the 4 who appears to like grass much better than dirt and was prepped with this race in mind.
I just can\'t help but laugh a little bit. The result for the ROTW is:
1st - \"vulnerable favorite and underlay\"
2nd - \"not confident about his chances, 8-1 seems short\"
3rd - \"gets hurt by the conditions and tough to like from this spot\"
4th - \"has to improve and makes this liklihood not too strong\"
If you box the five horses that the ROTW didn\'t like, you get the 2800 super.
Oh well, on to next week!!
Hard to be overly critical of taking a shot at a Louisiana bred race odds on favorite when the next best price was over 5.5 to one. The figures held up for the winner. I\'m not a turf devotee, like I suspect some of the TGraph crew, so I never looked at this race until Jimbo commented.
P.S. I need to add, I do like the way the Tgraph folk spread it around. Theres people all over the country that handicap their circuits, it would be silly to exclude them for focus upon the major sites.
CtC
Post Edited (12-11-04 18:54)
CtC,
I didn\'t look at the race either Chuckles, other than to read the ROTW and check the result. I don\'t bet Fairgrounds and don\'t bet much of anything in December. Made two bets at Aqueduct and went down the tubes with Strategy in the 7th and got caught very late on Forest Music in the 8th at the Big A.
I can\'t blame anybody ever taking a shot against s favorite. It just struck me as ironic that the ROTW only had negative comments about 5 of the horses and 4 of them made up the Super. I know it isn\'t a betting tool, but a teaching lesson. But I couldn\'t resist a post on it.