Listening to Crist and Beyer explain how some of these horses are too slow, I went back and quickly threw together the winning Beyer and winning TG and that horse\'s best prior figures as you look at what can get the job done.
Year, Winning TG, (Winning Beyer) Best Prior TG, (Best Prior Beyer)
2024, 3 (100), .25 (101)
2023, 0 (105), 3.75 (94)
2022, 1.5 (101), 9-dirt, (84)-poly
2021, 1.5 (102), 3 (99), Medina Spirit figs
2020, .25 (105), .5 (101) (Sept Derby)
2019, 1.25 (101), 1.5 (102), Max Security figs
2018, -1.5 (103), -1 (107)
2017, -1.5 (102), -.5 (97)
2016, .5 (103), .5 (101)
2015, -3 (105), -1 (105)
Noteworthy, on Beyer scale only Pharaoh and Justify with figures higher than 102 going into the Derby.
On the TG scale, no one faster than the .25 by Mystik Dan in the slop early on at OP that winter in the past 6 years.