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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Tavasco on February 01, 2025, 08:14:22 AM

Title: Robert B. Lewis Stakes
Post by: Tavasco on February 01, 2025, 08:14:22 AM
An excerpt from the Brad Free DRF article.

Citizen Bull’s last race was three months ago in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.
“He’s matured. I think he’s grown,” Baffert said. “He’s filled out. He’s a heavy horse; he’s stout. We gave him that little freshening, and now it’s the time for him to start running. He’s a big, strong horse.”

Baffert cautioned that Citizen Bull does not have to win first start back.
“At Del Mar, he needed a couple races to get ready,” Baffert said, referring to his debut win and third in the Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity.

After two starts, Citizen Bull hit top form by wiring back-to-back Grade 1 routes.

“Citizen Bull, he’s got to be on the lead [or] forwardly placed,” Baffert said. “Rodriguez won that way. At the break, they’ll figure it out.”

Martin Garcia rides Citizen Bull from post 2, while Juan Hernandez rides Rodriguez from post 3. Based on the 101 Beyer Speed Figure posted by Rodriguez in his maiden win only a month ago, one could argue that he’s the most probable winner.

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Reading between the lines, it seems that a Rodriguez/Madaket Road ebx is worthwhile in this one-mile race. The latter of this pair has come from mid-pack twice in his career competently.

Trainer Wesley Ward\'s trainee Clock Tower warrants some scrutiny. I\'m not an advocate of turf-to-dirt horses but a few have been successful ref. Cigar. SoCal racing deserves a little attention given we don\'t know how long it will last and has such a wonderful history.

Citizen Bull may run off and hide but @ 6/5 and maybe less how does one make money in this contest?
Title: Re: Robert B. Lewis Stakes
Post by: Fairmount1 on February 01, 2025, 08:47:53 AM
Tavasco wrote: \"how does one make money in this contest?\"

5 horse field.  1 of the 5 has a lifetime best Beyer of 66 and has one win against Cal breds.  

Baffert trains 3 of the other 4.

All of them are owned by same folks who reportedly want to \"grow the game\" LOLOLOL.

Pass this race and the horizontals connected to it.  It is absolutely Garbage.