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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Fairmount1 on November 23, 2024, 08:37:52 PM

Title: Del Mar, Pick 6
Post by: Fairmount1 on November 23, 2024, 08:37:52 PM
$88k+ Pick 6 Carryover.

A $47k Carryover had $402k in new money chasing it about a week ago at Del Mar.

___________

A quick cliff notes version for those that will consider diving in:

R4:  2 serious contenders and one will be a lower price than the other.  3 is one I\'d use on a backup ticket.  
R5:  Great King wins and I\'ll likely be in good shape.  Watch this replay and gallop out.  Exultation wins and I\'ll be out (likely favorite).  A few others I\'d consider but Great King is a lean for me.  
R6:  2356 will be the most played on the tickets put it in by the crowd.  14 as backups for those playing such tix.  Basically all but the 7 so try to make some distinctions.
R7:  2 will be most singled horse in the sequence.  Strong suspicion TG would see the race as a few others of equal ability after her rail trip last time.
R8:  Narrow it down from 1346.  3 will be a single for some but as one coming from further back doesn\'t seem ideal so she\'s hard to trust.
R9:  SPREAD RACE where I\'m having a tough time.  12 would be a strong use if he draws in.  (11 are entered so needs one scratch).  After that, the 10 Presider has a workout that matches up with stablemate Ultimate Authority, a 3yo filly who has ran some strong dirt numbers but is on the comeback (hasn\'t run since March).  I watched the workout on XBTV\'s site and was impressed with Presider on the outside of her when they earned the bullet.  Not sure he has any races that show he could compete but with a trainer change and no recent turf races, he is a wild card at a big price to consider.  If 12 doesn\'t draw in, 11 would be one of the ones that will be on my ticket(s) but I\'ll have a few others not mentioned here that are entering new barns.  

NOTE:  In Race 9, Rispoli is named on the 10 and the 12 . . . so if 12 draws in, pay attention to where he ends up.

Not much handicapping on the board lately. Let\'s hear some TG/handicapping opinions on the sequence.
Title: Re: Del Mar, Pick 6
Post by: P-Dub on November 24, 2024, 09:09:03 AM
I don\'t have TG today, so this isn\'t TG related

R4: I\'ll use the 2 short priced horses. Agree the 3 is an interesting one to add

R5: 1,3,5 I\'m definitely using here as well as the troubled trip #6.  Looking for one of these to roll down the lane and collar them

R6: Mostly FTS awesome. I\'ll use the 2 horses with experience 2,5

R7: #7 Mahina with a nice closing kick last time, a must use at that ML. Also using the 6 with the speed,

R8: 1,3,4,6 using 4 in a 6 horse race. Brilliant. But I can\'t separate these

R9: #3 Big Juanito with that late run, also using the 2 and 9.
Title: Re: Del Mar, Pick 6
Post by: Fairmount1 on November 24, 2024, 03:38:19 PM
I am Officially Out after that fiasco in the turn.