Whatcha got cookin\'?
Looks can be deceiving, but GOODLOOKINJUSTICE was visually impressive crossing the wire and the winners circle last time out. Wouldn\'t be surprised if he was voted best turned-out today.
The Indiana-Bred steps up against open company in the G3 Perryville. Never been worse than second in nine career starts. He\'s steadily improving this year and the trainer has been hot lately (tops.)
I don\'t know if he can beat DANNO, but I\'ll take my chances against the rest of the field going off the ML prices.
Can someone please explain the winner to me?
Good Luck,
Joe B.
I didn\'t bet the race, so I\'m looking at it from an impartial view. My answer is he was one of four horses in the race who got a clocker comment on the Keeneland \"In Today\" clocker report on Keeneland\'s website.
Last Saturday\'s 9th at Keeneland was won by a 24/1 shot who got a clocker comment on In Today. The difference is last Saturday\'s 9th race winner had a back top that made him competitive. That wasn\'t the case today, but the horse only had two races, was 1/1 at 7f & had a series of good workouts at Keeneland.
So, in conclusion, if a horse is working well at Keeneland, enough to get a comment in the In Today report, you might want to give it a 2nd look no matter how outmatched his sheet #s are.
When a horse jumps up 5-6 points, it usually, perplexs the players. Thank goodness it doesn\'t happen very often. What are the clues? In this case, it is a bit curious that the jump-op horse (Brunacini) ran faster (by the clock) in his first race at ELP than he did Saturday in the Perryville (G3).
The order of finish looks consistent with the TG #\'s otherwise. One course of inquiry is why Brunacini\'s previous speed ratings are so relatively slow. As already mentioned his recent series of workouts are impressive. His trainer hits at a high percentage. Our suspect also drew in off the also-eligible list suggesting an 11th-hour decision to enter the race. (I think). Then there is the issue of his jockey being schooled in the location of the KEE finish lines.
The predisposition to depend primarily on the previous speed rating explains the horse\'s price. Danno\'s celebrity also distracts many from much speculation.
Personally, my mistake was thinking, \"WTF is this horse doing in this race?\" In my many years of experience, I\'ve learned that this is the clue to look beyond the superficial for what is not obvious.
In hindsight, IMO, this horse was playable even though I didn\'t see it before the race. Is the sire Dortmund a consideration? I remember (erroneously) further discounting our subject because of Sire Dortmund.
P.S. if one could speculate GOODLOOKING jumping up enough to win then no wonder his jockey rode him with the confidence of a true believer.
Re: Rode him with confidence
Since you brought it up, Tavasco ...
I have the race looking like this going off the winning Beyer:
2f: 113
4f: 112
7f: 99
So do you think GOODLOOKIN regressed, matched his top or set a new top? That is a lot of pace for a 7F race.
He bounced all the way back to Indiana. ;-)