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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: glass_oni0n on October 08, 2024, 08:35:09 AM

Title: New Tops and Time
Post by: glass_oni0n on October 08, 2024, 08:35:09 AM
How much time is required between top efforts for a lower figure to be considered a new top?

I\'ve been going through the archived Breeders\' Cup races in an attempt to build a very basic par chart for winning speed figures in BC races, previous tops as well as whether or not the race was won with a top, pair, off or X.  

An example of what I\'m looking at is Bar of Gold in the 2017 Filly & Mare Sprint.  She won that race with a TG 1, which the Thoro-Pattern lists as a top, yet in October of the previous year she ran a 4.25-.  Should a handicapper take only the most recent 12 months when considering a new top?
Title: Re: New Tops and Time
Post by: prist on October 08, 2024, 09:54:47 AM
You\'re on the right track. What you\'re referring to is called the \"effective top.\" Thoro-Pattern works off effective tops rather than lifetime tops. The parameters are outlined in the Thoro-Pattern instruction sheet.

https://www.thorograph.com/assets/files/basics/thoropattern.pdf