Couple of really nice fillies coming from Europe in this one, Mawj & Elusive Princess. Couple others fit well also, should be a great race.
Bet on the slowest Euro shipper you can find. It worked for BOLD ACT yesterday. Wtf?
What I do not get is why NYRABets has not listed the 4 scratches in that race even though they were scratched over two hours ago. They have done that a number of times in the last few weeks and seems more prevalent in stakes for some reason - maybe a software glitch? The thing is, if you look at TG pace (and my pace analysis arrived at similar conclusions) - the four scratches were four of the five pace setters in the race. That race may be run like yesterday with a slow early, fast late profile. That only favors the Euros in my opinion. I know she will be chalky, but I like Mawj. She seems to be improving and her last race was outstanding. For various reason, European shippers often improve on their number first out in the US. That thought makes her scary.
I have seen much speculation regarding how well she\'ll take to the 9f given her sire has an average winning distance of 6.7f as he seems to have a majority of sprinters. You never know if they can truly get the distance in racehorse time until they do or they don\'t, and even then you\'re not sure if they can do it again. I am confident that the distance will not be an issue as she has won at a mile overseas and oftentimes those courses tend to be more taxing. Additionally, her dam sire has an average winning distance of almost 10f and it seems like oftentimes it\'s the dam side that provides the distance capabilities. Finally, my understanding is that she is here today as a prep for the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf. That is a 10f race this year at Santa Anita and I doubt Godolphin is shipping her in if they question her ability to route at that distance. Given that I expect she\'s going to be able to get the distance, she looks like a standout to me.
Agree, and just an observation from looking at euro sheet numbers on turf, they seem to run numbers in a nice progression without the bounce that you see with American turf runners.
You gotta have the horse, but ...
Oisin Murphy impressed today. Love the patience he showed coming out of the second turn.
I count 18 turf routes at Keeneland so far this meet. Two went wire-to-wire. Irad up on one, and Murphy the other.
That dog’ll hunt.
Around the quarter pole, he still wasn’t riding her, and was sitting chilly on her, and then asked around the 3/16ths pole. Some confidence in the filly he had.