Ask the Experts

General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: TGJB on May 09, 2022, 08:30:40 AM

Title: Hey guys...
Post by: TGJB on May 09, 2022, 08:30:40 AM
You're all drawing an awful lot of conclusions based on one horse jumping up synth/dirt. If that horse doesn't draw in the morning line favorites finish 1-2.

What's more interesting is, look at the two most similar ones, and what they did in the Preakness.

I was all in on Zandon in futures exactas at 18 and 22-1. If he got past Epicenter I would have backed into a decent result.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: HP on May 09, 2022, 09:01:44 AM
JB - \"If ifs and buts were candy and nuts we\'d all have a Merry Christmas.\"

Now...who coined this phrase?  Without looking it up.  It\'s a good one!  

HP
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Roman on May 09, 2022, 09:03:49 AM
Horse won fair & square! Congrats to the connections!
Let\'s be respectful , they do not all cheat, plus has Reed ever had a positive?
Horse won , I lost, respect to the little guys, that\'s the type of scenario that let\'s us dream!
After turning wrenches for 35 years, in my next career, I hope that could be me!
Who do you like in the Preakness?
Oaks Vs. Derby winners, plus a bunch of new shooters.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: HP on May 09, 2022, 09:11:41 AM
The aphorism was coined by the Dallas Cowboys quarterback, Don Meredith, who became a sports commentator for Monday Night Football in 1970.

17 December 1970,

Howard Cosell: "If Los Angeles wins, it's a big one, but San Francisco is still very much in it."
Don Meredith: "If ifs and buts were candy and nuts, we'd all have a merry Christmas."
Howard: "I didn't think you'd remember that old canard."
Don: "Is that what it was?"


The 1970 quip soon became Meredith\'s catchphrase, but it was a modern and comical twist on a much older proverb dating from the 19th century

"If ifs and ands were pots and pans, there'd be no work for tinkers' hands"
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: johnnym on May 09, 2022, 09:12:55 AM
Preakness
Brown coming of the bench fresh.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: shanahan on May 09, 2022, 09:38:47 AM
Jerry, sorry - I don\'t quite follow what you mean by \"What's more interesting is, look at the two most similar ones, and what they did in the Preakness.\"

Who are you referring to?
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: TreadHead on May 09, 2022, 09:51:29 AM
I believe he\'s referring to Giacomo and MTBird, who both finished 3rd in the preak.  Both those horses won at improbable odds due to a pace melt down, so there are plenty of parallels here.

Certainly agree that Rich Strike does not have to bounce, but he is highly unlikely to get the pace setup and trip that led to his Derby win again.  Will be surprised if he wins another G1, won\'t be surprised when he closes for third.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: TGJB on May 09, 2022, 09:56:26 AM
Archives.

Scott— if it was already a canard Meredith didn't invent it.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: HP on May 09, 2022, 10:22:13 AM
Why I oughta...let\'s see you come up with a line that good.  Dandy Don!  

I\'ll give YOU a canard.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Roman on May 09, 2022, 11:29:22 AM
If I remember correctly, I don\'t think those two ever won a race again.
And Country House never ran again.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: BB on May 09, 2022, 12:05:07 PM
TreadHead Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I believe he\'s referring to Giacomo and MTBird,
> who both finished 3rd in the preak.

Actually, Mine That Bird beat all the other colts who ran in that Preakness.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Roman on May 09, 2022, 12:10:54 PM
But he didn\'t beat the filly. And never won another.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Michael D. on May 09, 2022, 12:24:30 PM
Insane pace cooked a lot of them. Changed the complexion of the entire race. Even Joel got sucked in. Flying mud didn\'t help.

Wasn\'t Mine That Bird out of a Smart Strike mare? Didn\'t his sire excel at a mile and a quarter? Raced on poly? Sound familiar?

I sure as hell didn\'t have the winner. But unusual things are supposed to happen when we get a race like that. I love it. Can\'t stop watching the replay.

A great race call too. \"OH MY GOODNESS\" - legendary. Collmus picked up the winner late, sure, but Durkin didn\'t mention Mine That Bird until he was in front by 5. You can\'t focus on 80-1 shots in 20 horse fields, not when they\'re way back.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: P-Dub on May 09, 2022, 12:32:51 PM
Michael D. Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Insane pace cooked a lot of them. Changed the
> complexion of the entire race. Even Joel got
> sucked in. Flying mud didn\'t help.
>
> Wasn\'t Mine That Bird out of a Smart Strike mare?
> Didn\'t his sire excel at a mile and a quarter?
> Raced on poly? Sound familiar?
>
> I sure as hell didn\'t have the winner. But unusual
> things are supposed to happen when we get a race
> like that. I love it. Can\'t stop watching the
> replay.
>
> A great race call too. \"OH MY GOODNESS\" -
> legendary. Collmus picked up the winner late,
> sure, but Durkin didn\'t mention Mine That Bird
> until he was in front by 5. You can\'t focus on
> 80-1 shots in 20 horse fields, not when they\'re
> way back.

Mine That Bird ran in a very rainy race, tough to find silks, etc...

Rich Strike was clearly flying up the rail, Collmus did a poor job spotting him and once again made a poor race call. He should spend less time trying to make cute phrases and actually make an accurate race call for a change.

His big race calls are littered with trying to sound smart and witty. Just call the race.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: statuette on May 09, 2022, 12:33:03 PM
Let me ask this did or would anyone have played 93 breeders cup winner Arcangues ?
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Roman on May 09, 2022, 12:37:54 PM
Did not, & would not.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: P-Dub on May 09, 2022, 12:41:41 PM
statuette Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Let me ask this did or would anyone have played 93
> breeders cup winner Arcangues ?


I was at the track that day, thought about it cuz Bailey was on the horse. But no and I don\'t remember who the hell I played.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: statuette on May 09, 2022, 12:58:54 PM
P-Dub Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> statuette Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Let me ask this did or would anyone have played
> 93
> > breeders cup winner Arcangues ?
>
>
> I was at the track that day, thought about it cuz
> Bailey was on the horse. But no and I don\'t
> remember who the hell I played.

Me too but I will always remember him anytime a "hopeless" bomb wins
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: TreadHead on May 09, 2022, 01:22:06 PM
Collmus should have been fired a decade ago.  I realize not everyone can be Tom Durkin, but someone even like Kurt Becker does 10x the job he does.  Makes me sad that Luke Krytbosch was struck down so young, he for sure would still be doing it today and doing a fantastic job.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: P-Dub on May 09, 2022, 02:07:39 PM
TreadHead Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Collmus should have been fired a decade ago.  I
> realize not everyone can be Tom Durkin, but
> someone even like Kurt Becker does 10x the job he
> does.  Makes me sad that Luke Krytbosch was struck
> down so young, he for sure would still be doing it
> today and doing a fantastic job.

I watched every live CD race on my computer listening to Travis Stone, watched the replays on the big screen.

Collmus has a good voice, until he starts screaming, but his actual calls are average.

Matt Dinerman is a really good young race caller at GGF.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: bluechip21 on May 09, 2022, 02:52:53 PM
meanwhile us NYRA players are stuck with Johnny I. ... my dog could call a better race than that guy.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Edgorman on May 09, 2022, 03:46:55 PM
P-Dub Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> TreadHead Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Collmus should have been fired a decade ago.  I
> > realize not everyone can be Tom Durkin, but
> > someone even like Kurt Becker does 10x the job
> he
> > does.  Makes me sad that Luke Krytbosch was
> struck
> > down so young, he for sure would still be doing
> it
> > today and doing a fantastic job.
>
> I watched every live CD race on my computer
> listening to Kurt Becker, watched the replays on
> the big screen.
>
> Collmus has a good voice, until he starts
> screaming, but his actual calls are average.
>
> Matt Dinerman is a really good young race caller
> at GGF.


You were listening to CD race caller, Travis Stone.  Becker calls races at Keeneland.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Boscar Obarra on May 09, 2022, 05:07:00 PM
With all the computer tech we have , couldn\'t they synthesize Fred Capossela\'s voice and have the AI call the race off the Trackus data?

 
   Bet money it would be better than what we usually get.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: P-Dub on May 09, 2022, 05:32:50 PM
Edgorman Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> P-Dub Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > TreadHead Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > Collmus should have been fired a decade ago.
> I
> > > realize not everyone can be Tom Durkin, but
> > > someone even like Kurt Becker does 10x the
> job
> > he
> > > does.  Makes me sad that Luke Krytbosch was
> > struck
> > > down so young, he for sure would still be
> doing
> > it
> > > today and doing a fantastic job.
> >
> > I watched every live CD race on my computer
> > listening to Kurt Becker, watched the replays
> on
> > the big screen.
> >
> > Collmus has a good voice, until he starts
> > screaming, but his actual calls are average.
> >
> > Matt Dinerman is a really good young race
> caller
> > at GGF.
>
>
> You were listening to CD race caller, Travis
> Stone.  Becker calls races at Keeneland.


Yes meant to say Travis Stone.  I saw Kurt Becker mentioned in the response and that name was stuck in my head
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: jerry on May 09, 2022, 07:17:59 PM
If that horse didn't draw in. Did I really just read that?
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: jerry on May 09, 2022, 07:31:09 PM
There wasn't any good info on Euro imports back then and no dirt form to boot. This horse had plenty of info and none of it was good.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: Edgorman on May 10, 2022, 01:40:26 PM
All good, P-Dub.  No malice intended.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: bluechip21 on May 10, 2022, 02:22:15 PM
I\'m young and don\'t get the first part but man is he bad. sure he is a great guy but is that really the best they can do? between him and Serling (the worst) NYRA is a cast of misfits (Love Maggie and Stabile).
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: P-Dub on May 10, 2022, 03:17:06 PM
Edgorman Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> All good, P-Dub.  No malice intended.


I didn\'t take it that way, you were just correcting an error on my part.
Title: Re: Hey guys...
Post by: arcadia123 on May 10, 2022, 03:28:04 PM
Agreed!  Collmus got lucky with a cute execution of My Wife Knows Everything/My Wife Knows Nothing, made the national news, and then got primo race caller jobs that I don\'t think were warranted. No knock on Larry for taking advantage of the opportunities.  Shouting the call does not make it better.  

Make it fun and get Richard Grunder out of retirement to make the derby call. Good lord would that be fun.