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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: prist on June 08, 2021, 01:31:10 PM

Title: Obeah Stakes
Post by: prist on June 08, 2021, 01:31:10 PM
20/1 M/L on MARKET RUMOR? I don\'t think so. I think she\'s a solid 4/1 shot in here. Only concern is that she\'s always wide and has drawn outside for this race.

Horse to beat looks like BAJAN GIRL. Ran a huge number at GP and didn\'t fall apart afterwards. Current form suggests she\'s worth something around 2/1.

The other horse to consider is GRACEFUL PRINCESS. I respect the number she ran last time out, but she\'s a 5yo with issues and is off a top. 7/1 on this one.

The rest are a reach and I wouldn\'t take less than 12/1 on any of them.
Title: Re: Obeah Stakes
Post by: Gary Irish on June 08, 2021, 07:28:09 PM
Hello Pete,

I see you have returned to the Dark Side (smile).

Why don\'t you make it easy for everyone and give the track, date, and race # so we don\'t have to go searching? Small favors.

I don\'t have an opinion here so that makes it easy to attack yours. What are friends for?

First off Delaware is (was?) a difficult track to ship into, kinda like Tampa.

Your initial horse Market Rumor is trained by Wilkes. After the Brooklyn I advised a friend to \"Stop Me\" if I ever consider backing one of Ian\'s again in life. Yes, I know this is extreme, but you have to make stands in this game. Yeah, I cashed Fort Larned, that was maybe the last one. He couldn\'t figure out the horse wanted dirt until a rainoff.

Forget Bajan Girl. I already tried to cash her in the La Troienne under, no good. Wanted to take adv of insider info, IE the back track at GP on 2/20 that did a lot of pace types like her and Mrs Danvers in. Hasn\'t worked.

Also forget getting value on Todd\'s Graceful Princess. Irad is there. People notice that. One work since her 4/16 race? Good Luck.
Title: Re: Obeah Stakes
Post by: prist on June 08, 2021, 08:53:23 PM
Gary Irish Wrote:
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> Hello Pete,
>
> I see you have returned to the Dark Side (smile).

Don\'t get too close. You may get tempted.

I\'ll let you know what I think of Wilkes after this race. 😉

Too bad you don\'t have The Sheets for this race. Would have loved to get your opinion. Next time.
Title: Re: Obeah Stakes
Post by: Gary Irish on June 09, 2021, 06:08:03 AM
There are sure to be races where we can compare the products. This won\'t be one of those times.

My criticism of Wilkes is unfair. He seems a capable trainer. My luck playing his charges is probably error on my part.

I saw the changes are in at Delaware. Is Irad really riding? A quick healer, that one. I had forgotten his spill.

This is Jerry\'s board. I don\'t use the product. I will try to refrain from posting here. I sometimes fail in my pursuits.

I have your email, so will use it.
Title: Re: Obeah Stakes
Post by: prist on June 09, 2021, 06:23:42 AM
Gary Irish Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
>
> I saw the changes are in at Delaware. Is Irad
> really riding? A quick healer, that one. I had
> forgotten his spill.

I think it\'s still too early. I\'m anticipating more scratches. The well informed indicated yesterday that #2 CRYSTAL BALL and #5 JILTED BRIDE will pass in favor of a stake at Tdn on Ohio Derby day.
Title: Re: Obeah Stakes
Post by: prist on June 09, 2021, 07:50:10 AM
The scratches are starting to trickle in now. It should be a seven horse field when it\'s all said and done. #9 QUEEN NEKIA should be the final scratch.

I wasn\'t anticipating the #4 and #6 to scratch. No biggie, but it had a slight impact on my odds.

I\'ll go down to 9/5 on BAJAN GIRL and 7/2 on MARKET RUMOR. GRACEFUL PRINCESS stays at 7/1.