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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: prist on May 31, 2021, 06:04:28 AM

Title: Texas Derby
Post by: prist on May 31, 2021, 06:04:28 AM
If I take a cautious approach in here I would make the two outside horses, GET HER NUMBER and SUPER STOCK, both 2/1. WARRANT would be next at 4/1. Other than that I don\'t like too much. If I got creative maybe I would look towards MR. WIRELESS if he were 11/1 or higher.

Any opinions? Can anyone split the top two?
Title: Re: Texas Derby
Post by: statuette on May 31, 2021, 06:37:55 AM
I bet #2 rightandjust last time out throw him in the tri and exactas
Title: Re: Texas Derby
Post by: prist on May 31, 2021, 07:06:41 AM
I might as well add DREAMER\'S DISEASE to the creative list. I\'ve got him at 11/1 as well, but what he does off the 7- top is anybody\'s guess.
Title: Re: Texas Derby
Post by: Tavasco on May 31, 2021, 11:05:18 AM
Preliminary Overview.

The area is in a flash flood watch and it is raining.

Asmussen\'s entrant #6 Say it Ain\'t Soni apparently has only one speed which is to quote the Moody Blues GO NOW! It could be this one is in to complicate some of the other front runners races.

Especially those coming from OP where early speed and position were so critical to winning. E.G., #4 Mr. Wireless, #5 Warrant, #10 SuperStock. The Cox trainee having IMO the best chance of surviving the first 6F melee, but without enough punch to win.

The beneficiary could be coincidently Asmussen and #1 Scarred by #1 sire Into Mischief. Not a deep closer yet possessing a ferocious late kick and proven on an off track. Steve & Stewart a formidable duo, statistically.

Just a preliminary overview. Looks like a great race. What the hell is Bob Hess doing in here?

Edit


Oh, trainer Hess has the favorite in the eighth. Do several horses probably ship for about the same cost as one? Turf is yielding with 11 minutes to pst?
Title: Re: Texas Derby - Addendum #1
Post by: Tavasco on May 31, 2021, 11:35:47 AM
#8 Dreamers Disease if they splash as fast as I\'m imagining not too many left who could actually pass this guy so putting him into 3rd or 4th in the verticals is not impossible in my view.
Title: Re: Texas Derby - Addendum #2
Post by: Tavasco on May 31, 2021, 12:23:20 PM
1st race coming up and it does not look wet at all.

Reset.
Title: Re: Texas Derby - Postscript
Post by: Tavasco on May 31, 2021, 05:47:15 PM
A little bit surprising but in the end, why doesn\'t Diodoro sprint with Dreamer\'s Disease. I suppose he can\'t even get 6F.
Title: Re: Texas Derby - Postscript
Post by: prist on May 31, 2021, 07:00:38 PM
I believe DREAMER\'S DISEASE actually opened up as the chalk.

GET HER NUMBER drifted all the way up to 6/1 at some point. I missed it. Were they canceling bets as they were coming out of the first turn? He was approximately 7/2 in the DD pool.