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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Boscar Obarra on May 01, 2021, 09:03:49 PM

Title: Forget about curiously low payoffs, this was curiously high
Post by: Boscar Obarra on May 01, 2021, 09:03:49 PM
No mention here of  that 10th race Superfecta

  Something to be said for a decent size field and $1 mins.

  The tri came back 2500-1

  But the super, with Hog Creek Hustle at 31-1 , returned 400,000 - 1

  You got 160-1 for getting the 4th horse in there.

  This thing paid 10x what it should have .

  The few people/teams that hit this must have thought it was a mistaken price.
Title: Re: Forget about curiously low payoffs, this was curiously high
Post by: statuette on May 01, 2021, 09:42:42 PM
Just saw $521,172 in the super pool 1 ticket I assume
Title: Re: Forget about curiously low payoffs, this was curiously high
Post by: Boscar Obarra on May 01, 2021, 10:13:45 PM
True.  Sadly, these anomalies are impossible to predict .  It could just as easily have paid 50k, and no one would bat an eyelash . Only 12 horses , and the winner wasn\'t a bomb.
Title: Re: Forget about curiously low payoffs, this was curiously high
Post by: billk5300s on May 02, 2021, 05:38:46 AM
A different way to state this is to say that the “smart” money was wrong.
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