Ask the Experts

General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: philywheel on June 07, 2020, 11:29:48 AM

Title: IRAD
Post by: philywheel on June 07, 2020, 11:29:48 AM
why study sheets, when all you have to do is play IRAD, PHENOMENAL
philywheel
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: JohnTChance on June 07, 2020, 04:02:20 PM
Why? Because in Belmont\'s 10th today, Irad (w/Chad) was 3/2 in a MSW turfer and finished off the board. Hey, it happens. And the superfecta paid $8,000 for a dime!
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: vired on June 07, 2020, 06:56:07 PM
did u have it?
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: P-Dub on June 07, 2020, 09:17:32 PM
vired Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> did u have it?


Doesn\'t matter and not the point.
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: hellersorr on June 07, 2020, 09:46:02 PM
After phillywheel\'s post you would have an extremely nice day if all you did was follow his advice.

(Yeah, yeah, yeah - I know.  Still, would it have killed JTC to post an attaboy?)
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: philywheel on June 08, 2020, 01:45:17 AM
Toss IRAD at your  own risk
philywheel
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: johnnym on June 08, 2020, 04:08:40 AM
Read Ghost Soldiers
Good read thanks for the suggestion.
Now back to your regular schedule program.
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: philywheel on June 08, 2020, 07:54:14 AM
Read Steve Cauthen
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: johnnym on June 08, 2020, 09:35:19 AM
Ty Wheel
Which version? Looks as though there are several different versions.
Enjoying reading lately, have not watched much TV lately.
John
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: richiebee on June 08, 2020, 10:02:48 AM
Johnny:

Wheel may have been referring to \"The Kid\", by Pete Axthelm, the story of
Cauthen\'s Triple Crown win with Affirmed.

Also recommended \"Wild Ride\" by Ann Hagerdorn Auerbach, the story of how one man
single handedly bankrupted Calumet Farm. Determine for yourself if foul play was
involved in the death of Alydar.

In terms of individual racehorses, I really enjoyed \"The Kingmaker: How
Northern Dancer Founded a Racing Dynasty\". I do not recall if the author told of
\"The Shot Heard Round The World\", which was Doc Harthill administering LASIX to
Northern Dancer before the Derby years before LASIX was widely used (legally or
illegally).
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: JohnTChance on June 08, 2020, 11:23:26 AM
Attaboy!
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: philywheel on June 08, 2020, 11:47:32 AM
lol
wheel
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: Tavasco on June 09, 2020, 05:53:13 AM
https://www.facebook.com/groups/673940623415000/permalink/733611554114573/
Title: Over-under
Post by: philywheel on June 10, 2020, 01:08:59 PM
Irad has 8 Scheduled Mounts Tomorrow at Belmont, Im setting the over-under at 3.5
wheel
Title: Re: Over-under
Post by: P-Dub on June 11, 2020, 12:14:15 AM
The Over/Under on the number of people that think this thread has outlived its usefulness, assuming it was useful in the first place...

10,000
Title: Re: Over-under
Post by: P-Dub on June 11, 2020, 03:49:15 PM
philywheel Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Irad has 8 Scheduled Mounts Tomorrow at Belmont,
> Im setting the over-under at 3.5
> wheel


0 for 8 with 2 DFLs and another one spot away from DFL.

This is the kind of thinking that makes for overlays on contenders.
Title: Re: Over-under
Post by: aceriley63 on June 11, 2020, 06:04:49 PM
DFL.  Took me a sec to figure that out.
Title: Re: IRAD
Post by: Mike C on June 12, 2020, 05:58:12 AM
I remember last year there was a period where Castellano was winning all the grass stakes races, it made it difficult to bet those races, because the public started making Castellano\'s horse the favorite even when not deserved.
So While I agree that you should always be careful with Irad,  you can get great value on faster horses, like yesterdays 7th race, Irad was on Chestertown, a nice  3 year old with only a maiden win to his credit, had run a top of 8 running up the track in a stake at fairgrounds, had a nice looking sheet, you even might say the horse showed he could even move forward off the 2 pt top, had some rest, etc. Only problem was that there were 3 horses in the race capable of running in the 3\'s (including the winner at $12.60 with Manny). Chestertown was 3-5/4-5 right up to post time and he went off at 6-5. To Irads credit he ran 2nd, but my point is only that as good as he is, even if he wins 34%,like the last 30 days, he doesn\'t win 66%, and you get better odds on the other contenders.