Race 10:
#2 Ginobli makes his first start around 2 turns. Ran a really fast number 2 back followed by a dud over this track. Can’t let the horse with best number beat me in leg 1. #4 Villainous has competitive numbers at a price. #7 Candy Tycoon faces softer and another with competitive numbers. #10 Prodigious Bay jumped forward first route. #11 Rushie with 2 solid routes this year. Contentious race.
2-4-7-10-11
Race 11: #1 Charlatan could be singled, but I singled Venetian Harbor and it cost me the Pick 4. Will also use #4 Gouverneur Morris, who jumped forward off the paired 2 YO top. If Charlatan doesn’t break well, who knows.
1-4
Race 12:
#2 Trophy Chaser should sit a good trip from an inside draw, paired tops this year which are very competitive. #4 Mr Freeze reacts off big efforts, but can still win off a bounce sitting right off the pace. #6 Warrior’s Charge has speed, several wins over the track, solid connections, and ran a top last out. #9 Tacitus has solid numbers and a must use. #12 By My Standards, toss the Ky Derby in the slop and he’s won his last 4. Solid pattern, a little slower than the other contenders but I think he can move forward which puts him right in this.
2-4-6-9-12
Race 13:
#3 Storm The Court paired his top, fits on numbers. #4 King Guillermo ran a big race at TB on the main after a couple on turf. Fastest number can’t toss. #5 Nadal another in the number range behind KG, as well as #11 Well’s Bayou. #10 Farmington Road is a bit slower but I love his pattern and a forward move puts him squarely in this. The track is playing towards speed, he\'ll need a pace meltdown which is possible.
3-4-5-10-11
Race 14:
#5 Carlos Sixes has solid numbers, gets the distance, and I don’t like much else here. Single
.50 P5: 2,4,7,10,11/1,4/2,4,6,9,12/3,4,5,10,11/5 = $125
Economy Ticket .50 P5
4,7,11/1/2,4,6,9,12/4,5,10/5 = $22.50
I tossed the 12, By My Standards but had the 5 and 9 in the last race. Baffert kills everything with those highly bet runners. Nadal looked average in that field and wins like a champ.
I don\'t understand how anyone could have seen Nadal\'s previous race and then say he looked \"average\" in today\'s field.
He \"wins like a champ\" today because he won like a champ in that previous race.
(Note: I\'m not saying you had to prefer him today at 4-5 to KG\'s 9-2.)
(Though . . . geezus ... considering Baffert\'s record at Oaklawn . . .)
Nadal looks much more the Derby horse than Charlatan..
Very cool how Oaklawn ended the meet with that song can never remember the name of it..
How?
All of these horses had comparable numbers:
King Guillermo, Storm the Court, Farmington Road, Well Bayou, Taishan, and Silver Prospector.
There is no way that horse should have been less than even money. IMHO