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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Molesap on November 01, 2019, 07:11:27 PM

Title: BC Special DD Approximate $2 Will Pays
Post by: Molesap on November 01, 2019, 07:11:27 PM
Juvenile Fillies to Distaff
1 - 99.80
2 - 125.80
3 - 119.00
4 - 15.00
5 - 51.60
6 - 164.20
7 - 157.40
8 - 812.00
9 - 125.80
10 - 734.20
11 - 73.20

Juvenile Turf to Turf
1 - 520.00
2 - 726.00
3 - 852.60
4 - 411.80
5 - 95.80
6 - 506.40
7 - 975.00
8 - 1406.00
9 - 35.60
10 - 80.60
11 - 161.40
12 - 251.00

Juvenile to Classic
1 - 2063.20
2 - 1529.00
3 - 1153.00
4 - 688.40
5 - 530.40
6 - 791.80
7 - 773.00
8 - 493.40
9 - 1159.80
10 - 602.00
11 - 512.00
Title: Re: Projected Saturday Odds from Friday DDs
Post by: BitPlayer on November 02, 2019, 06:49:09 AM
My projected odds are based on a weighted average of probables from the three lowest-odds horses in the Friday races (not the winners):

Juvenile Fillies to Distaff
1 - 9.3
2 - 16.0
3 - 13.6
4 - 0.9
5 - 5.4
6 - 21.4
7 - 17.5
8 - 83.6
9 - 14.1
10 - 95.1
11 - 8.0

Juvenile Turf to Turf
1 - 35.9
2 - 60.9
3 - 50.8
4 - 24.4
5 - 4.3
6 - 38.5
7 - 52.1
8 - 78.8
9 - 1.0
10 - 3.4
11 - 10.6
12 - 18.7

Juvenile to Classic
1 - 59.0
2 - 34.9
3 - 17.3
4 - 23.8
5 - 5.5
6 - 8.2
7 - 10.3
8 - 3.2
9 - 15.7
10 - 4.1
11 - 3.7

Marshall Gramm\'s Twitter feed has his calculations, which are probably better than mine:

https://twitter.com/truxtonstables?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor