I\'m not buying this one on Saturday. The negative 4 at Pimlico for a 3YO Filly is cook city. Throw in an absolute ding dong throw down in last against Grade One older filly Mia Mischief (who was dull in last) and this one is a no-can-do. Getting weight back figure blah blah I\'m not seeing it.
Bellafina? This crew won this race but that was with a real sprinter. This one also shipped twice and did nothing. Maybe it\'s just CD but I\'m not sold on this spot for this filly.
Serengetti. Has the gate quick to get loose. Just ran 43 at Belmont going a mile. If she does 42 on Saturday she is gone....
I want to compliment you on your language.
looking at trenchtown cat, maybe can squeeze one more off those jump ups
Tavasco thanks. RICH I will take a look at this one. Ifs a really good weekend of racing and it would be good if people posted more thoughts on selections etc. Its ok to be wrong.
I think Serengetti can handle this and I think she can rate a little. Can she pop it from there? Well that is the big question because her usual style is to run the others off their feet with her speed.
Its now or never time for McKenzie. That loss to Gift Box a couple back looks like a bad one. He seems to find trouble and ways to lose when he shouldn\'t but is super talented.
I don\'t know about mckinzie, the distance bothers me, couple others close on number power, taking a long look at the servis one, hoping for one more at that price. Vino rosso and thunder snow, anyone still on these 2?, both hard to figure as to when they pop
I wasn\'t wagering the day Vino popped out west. But was in him in the Carter and not the race before. He seems like a cut below last year.
Preservationist showed good tactical speed in the Suburban and collared a really nice Turf horse.
McKenzie beat nothing in the Malibu. This horse needs to ridden aggressively. I would be curious to see what Bafferts Win % is at Saratoga in his last 5 or 10 Starts? There is the Edge....
Starting in 2017, Baffert is 11-6-1-1 at Saratoga - if you back to 2015, he is 17-8-3-2. More recently, he was 6-3-0-0 last year. So no matter what you look at in the past 5 years, he is hitting around 50% shipping into Saratoga.
Silver Charm Wrote:
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>
> I think Serengetti can handle this and I think she
> can rate a little. Can she pop it from there? Well
> that is the big question because her usual style
> is to run the others off their feet with her
> speed.
>
FWIW Amoss said on more than one occasion on NYRA feed over the past couple days that with the disappointing rail draw he has to and is going to send. All but guarantees a sizzling early pace. Even Amoss himself said the race is likely to set up for a closer..
I knew it was good and when you throw in the year where he went 4-4 on Belmont Stakes Day it seems like he never loses. 50% is good and all of then fired their prior top or better. (The winners).
It\'s now or never time for McKenzie. If he wants to be Ilder Champ he needs to run the table starting g with today
Well he has to send to get out of their. Had he gotten an outside draw he could have been more measured and dropped over.
The filly most likely to do battle with her does she want to go 7F? I\'m not so sure.
Sets up for Royal Charlotte who gets weight from several and ready to pop a new top, will need it to win.
Will be on my pick 5 like the jock change lots of pace
I’m out didn’t have her
Couldnt have been more wrong and also right. Give Cox and the 3 all the credit. Had plenty of energy when I thought she was cooked up
The 1 had the speed to clear from the rail as I said Bellafina is a fraud outside Cali as I said. Chad burned money. 7/2 was a great price on the Oaks winner and Acorn runner up and Load up and get nailed. Tough game but I had my neck out there
Yes a great stretch duel, and lots of credit for Brad Cox for having Covfefe
ready and razor sharp for this assignment.
After the race, \"Cox said the likely next step will be to allow Covfefe some
well deserved time off. Likely next starts will come in either the Breeders Cup
or December 26th La Brea Stakes at Santa Anita Park.\"
I realize that Covfefe might never race past seven or eight furlongs, but would
like to point out the following: In the last 52 years, seven fillies have taken
the Test Stakes and gone on to win the Alabama Stakes at 10 furlongs: (Addendum:
only Jeltrin was nominated for both the 2019 Test and 2019 Alabama)
2004 Society Selection
1992 November Snow
1991 Versailles Treaty
1990 Go For Wand
1974 Quaze Quilt
1973 Desert Vixen
1967 Gamely 1,2
So many reasons not to expect the Test/Alabama \"double\" ever to be captured
again. Changes in purse structure, big opportunities in the Cotillion and at
the Breeders Cup. A diluted thoroughbred gene pool where the better an equine\'s
bloodline, the more sparingly it is likely to be raced. Many top trainers
allegedly using PEDs and other magic bullets which require increased recovery
time. An enlarged stakes racing schedule which provides lucrative Graded stakes
opportunities 12 months a year.
No complaints though. I am resigned to a game which features more lightly raced
superstars, for better or worse. A new day dawns on Wednesday with the advent
of the \"Rainbow\" style Pick 6 at Saratoga. Steve Crist, who fought to keep the
minimum NYRA Pick 6 wager at $2, is probably not happy.
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1Three of these fillies went on to win 3YO Filly of the Year honors:
Go For Wand, Desert Vixen and Gamely.
2 In the context of the Test/Alabama, time for my at least once
yearly mention of one of my all time favorite thoroughbreds, Gold Beauty. As a
3YO Filly, Gold Beauty won the 1982 Test Stakes and the 1982 Fall Highweight,
and was named Eclipse Award winning Sprinter. The speedy and diminutive Gold
Beauty produced Maplejinsky (winner of the 1988 Alabama). Maplejinsky went on
to produce Sky Beauty (winner of the 1993 Alabama). Gold Beauty also produced
Dayjur, who lost the Breeder\'s Cup Sprint to another great sprinting filly,
Safely Kept, when he jumped shadows near the wire.