With 14 slated to go, trip scenarios should weigh heavily in the outcome of this race.
I’m going with the inside horses, 1,2,3 and 6. Keying them in tris.
Looking for the 1 to get a 1w trip and move forward off of his last. At 50-1 I’ll take a stab he hangs around for a piece. Sires offspring get much better with age.
2 ran a competitive number a few back. Has enough speed to save ground. 30-1 seems more than fair.
3 is one of the fastest. Good rider. Hot trainer. 8-1 seems too generous
6 is also one of the fastest. Likely pace setter. Might react to last but at 8-1 I’m willing to take shot.