Apparently Rags/Jake/Guy Across The Street has published a Pimlico package. So someone on their Bulletin Board gets a copy (I assume) and posts that Justify regressed in the Kentucky Derby. TGJB had posted as much earlier.
I am puzzled how one could arrive at such a conclusion and more so how it reflects negatively on making speed figures. I suppose the simplest answer is if one had the track variant out of whack. Or maybe the prior race was overstated?
I am not denigrating Rags and hope that this question doesn\'t lead to insults of them or their product that always reflects badly on the accuser. I see no problem with them keeping their info proprietary and private.
The idea that the winner of the KY Derby, Justify, totally dominated most of the best three year old colts in the US by running other than his good race does not compute for me. I naively thought the TG # would be better. Maybe it is a slight regression so mox nix.
It seems like not seeing the forest through the trees. Getting so caught up in the details of ones own methodology that the purpose of the exercise is lost. Here is where someone who is not a purist gets confused. The layman sees a horse who beat all comers handily, a figure maker may see a slow final time? Each doubting the other because of ...
Again, I suppose only the purists will use the performance # (whoever\'s) as a reason to bet for or against Justify @ Pimlico. For me this is the antithesis of the 9th Race @ Parx situation.
In the Parx case you bet the horse because its 30/1. In the Preakness you don\'t bet the horse because he\'s 1/2.