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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Silver Charm on April 07, 2018, 04:04:21 PM

Title: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: Silver Charm on April 07, 2018, 04:04:21 PM
Just the best horse won. The FOY was a total first race prep. He did the same thing in his maiden voyage. This is a professional with a solid pedigree top and bottom. He is going to take sone beating come Derby Day!!

Not really sure why Flameaway was gunning for the early lead. Cost him some late energy. Certainly ran well.

Sporting Chance was gonna be 2nd. Wouldnt switch leads and with one crack of the whip is on to Pimlico...
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: big18741 on April 07, 2018, 04:18:18 PM
A well paid workout designed to get him to the next one.

Visually nothing to get excited about but who cares?
Nice looking sheet headed to CD.
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: Silver Charm on April 07, 2018, 04:26:06 PM
According to the TVG talking heads there was nothing to see here (at Kee). According to SA race caller we just witnessed a \"dizzying accent to greatness\".....sheeeesh
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: ajkreider on April 07, 2018, 05:14:53 PM
Time-wise, the filly race seemed the quicker of the two - she certainly came home faster.  SA race didn\'t seem anything special either. Some ground loss in the Bluegrass, but at first glance, don\'t think it\'s a big number.
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: Silver Charm on April 07, 2018, 06:45:32 PM
Ky filly ran well. So did the Calif Filly. And hats off to Bill Spawr. With ground Magic moved forward a little. He didn\'t fly today 1:50! As Big said pattern looks good.

I will assure you despite what the TV Talking Heads say the Derby IS NOT a foregone conclusion. The competition will show up and Justify will have to prove he is head and shoulders above the competition as they say. And one of the All-Time Greats. No doubt Baffert is sky high and that says enough. But I gotta see more than an uncontested half in 48 and a final time of 1:49 before I\'m call anyone with only 3 career starts the undisputed winner of this years Derby....
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: ajkreider on April 07, 2018, 07:23:59 PM
Cali filly looked good to the eye, but not sure how fast it was.  Boys got the extra 1/16th in only five more seconds.  Will be interesting to see the number.
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: P-Dub on April 07, 2018, 11:35:45 PM
Silver Charm Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Ky filly ran well. So did the Calif Filly. And
> hats off to Bill Spawr. With ground Magic moved
> forward a little. He didn\'t fly today 1:50! As Big
> said pattern looks good.
>
> I will assure you despite what the TV Talking
> Heads say the Derby IS NOT a foregone conclusion.
> The competition will show up and Justify will have
> to prove he is head and shoulders above the
> competition as they say. And one of the All-Time
> Greats. No doubt Baffert is sky high and that says
> enough. But I gotta see more than an uncontested
> half in 48 and a final time of 1:49 before I\'m
> call anyone with only 3 career starts the
> undisputed winner of this years Derby....

The NBC talking heads said anything but.  They all commented how deep the Derby field looks. Couple guys on TVG, namely Hoover, raved about him.
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: Silver Charm on April 08, 2018, 05:15:13 AM
It is a competitice rsce. Not a forgone conclusion. NBC got it right. Justify only needs to make it the starting gate....really Simon Bray?
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: jerry on April 08, 2018, 06:08:08 AM
Justify is this year’s Bodimeister.
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: jerry on April 08, 2018, 06:15:40 AM
3yo’s have a way of dirtying clean sheets on the first Saturday in May.
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: jbrown007 on April 08, 2018, 06:53:58 PM
Well if he is this years Bodemeister he wins the derby. Only reason Bode lost the derby is because they entered a sprinter that killed him. Since then they changed the point system to prevent that type of thing from reoccurring.
Title: Re: Blue Grass - Its Wasnt about Magic
Post by: ajkreider on April 08, 2018, 07:17:34 PM
Perhaps, except that

a) Bode regressed significantly off of his prior number in the derby.
b) I\'ll Have Another won the race with a 1, which will probably get you in the top eight this year.
c) Bode entered with the only negative number.  Justify probably doesn\'t even enter with the top number, and there are a bunch of horses entering off of competitive figs.