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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Molesap on April 03, 2018, 06:46:44 PM

Title: Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 4
Post by: Molesap on April 03, 2018, 06:46:44 PM
*Note - the Downey Profile has Mendelssohn listed at 30/1, but CD and DRF both have him at 10/1, which makes much more sense. Sorry for the confusion.

Here are the horses in pool 4 - the first that jumps out at me is the 30/1 on Mendelssohn. He was 28/1 in Pool 3 without ever having run a race on the dirt - then he romps by almost 20 lengths and Battaglia puts him in at 30/1? He will end up at less than half those odds - am I wrong on that?

2018 KENTUCKY DERBY FUTURE WAGER POOL 4
1. Audible. 6-1
2. Bolt d\'Oro. 5-1
3. Bravazo. 50-1
4. Combatant. 30-1
5. Enticed. 20-1
6. Flameaway. 30-1
7. Free Drop Billy. 30-1
8. Good Magic. 8-1
9. Gronkowski. 30-1
10. Hofburg. 30-1
11. Instilled Regard. 50-1
12. Justify. 6-1
13. Lone Sailor. 50-1
14. Magnum Moon. 10-1
15. Mendelssohn. 10-1 (edit - both DRF and CD have him at 10/1 not 30/1)
16. Mississippi. 50-1
17. My Boy Jack. 30-1
18. Noble Indy. 20-1
19. Promises Fulfilled. 30-1
20. Quip. 50-1
21. Runaway Ghost. 50-1
22. Solomini. 20-1
23. Title Ready. 50-1
24. All Others. 10-1
Title: Re: Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 4
Post by: TheBull on April 03, 2018, 06:49:52 PM
Solomini has a lower ml than Mendelsson...let that sink in
Title: Re: Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 4 - Mendelssohn
Post by: BitPlayer on April 03, 2018, 07:23:42 PM
There is a mistake someplace.  The Churchill Downs press release has him at 10-1.
Title: Re: Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 4 - Mendelssohn
Post by: Molesap on April 03, 2018, 07:50:05 PM
Yes - that seems correct as DRF also has him listed at 10/1 - The Downey Profile has him at 30/1, but that is a mistake. I have edited my original post.