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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: philywheel on March 11, 2018, 01:46:53 PM

Title: justify
Post by: philywheel on March 11, 2018, 01:46:53 PM
Justify went from 10-1  to 8-1 in the futures in 5 mins after his victory. seems like a bad bet to me( altho he looked impressive)

Philywheel
Title: Re: justify
Post by: philywheel on March 11, 2018, 01:58:35 PM
now 6-1 and the exacta with bolt doro is getting crushed

philywheel
Title: Re: justify
Post by: ajkreider on March 11, 2018, 03:11:08 PM
It\'s a terrible bet, but watching that race I said to myself,  \"we\'re going to need a bigger boat\".
Title: Re: justify
Post by: philywheel on March 11, 2018, 04:03:13 PM
Agreed  JAWS

phillywheel
Title: Re: justify
Post by: BitPlayer on March 11, 2018, 05:05:01 PM
Broke a half step slow again today.  Hasn\'t cost him yet, but could in the future.    Interesting that Smith jumped aboard.  Is Van Dyke serving days?
Title: Re: justify
Post by: dglass2232 on March 11, 2018, 07:02:13 PM
It was a China Horse Club decision to go with Mike Smith.
Title: Re: justify
Post by: jbelfior on March 12, 2018, 07:43:16 AM
Wow-- 6-1 on a colt with 2 starts and no points.

Talented for sure, but I\'ll go with the 60-1 on Noble Indy.


Good Luck,
Joe B.
Title: Re: justify
Post by: mjellish on March 12, 2018, 08:00:39 AM
Will have to see if Baffert has another Bodemeister in him to get this one to the Derby in a hurry and to run credibly.  They are going to be up against it.  Seems like more of a Preakness horse to me.
Title: Re: justify
Post by: ajkreider on March 12, 2018, 01:43:31 PM
I only dabble in this future pool, and only just.  Put a bit on Indy as well, along with Gold Town, and Strike Power. Was thinking they each had a shot at wining their last prep, at which point their odds will come way down.  GT looks like he only has to beat one horse shipping in.  Noble Indy looked pretty good in traffic and galloped out well, and hoping Strike improves in his second effort around two turns, while the favorites regress.
Title: Re: justify
Post by: Gerard on March 12, 2018, 02:12:26 PM
Posts 1 & 2 were winning at a near 40 percent clip in two turn dirt races going into Risen Star day, still holding a near 35 percent rate. 4 two turn dirt races that day, zero wins, two placings, one place horse was the favorite I believe. Both Noble Indy and High North were on the rail in the stretch, not sure if the rail was labeled as dead, but NI sure looked to lose momentum from the gravitation toward the rail.