Ask the Experts

General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: shanahan on December 25, 2017, 07:27:57 AM

Title: San Antonio
Post by: shanahan on December 25, 2017, 07:27:57 AM
Giant Expectations, eh?  Hasn\'t won at SA, hasn\'t won longer than a mile. Don\'t see it.  Got him 3rd behind both Bafferts.  No value there.

I do see some in other races:
Race 1) #5 is 6/1ML - 3rd time the charm for Ruis/Blanc.  blinks off.
Race 4) #3 is 8/1ML - fillies always dangerous from MD\'Oro.
Race 5) #2 is 12/1 ML - likes SA, 6 is a bad TPattern, and 8 is unreliable.
Race 9) #2 is 12/1 ML - likes SA (never out of the $), gd stats of DH, $ winner.

Thanks again for this Team TG.
Title: Re: San Antonio
Post by: Wrongly on December 26, 2017, 09:23:10 AM
Race #1 - Competitive race #5 Orbit Rain, fav #1 River Boyne.  Curious about #7 Pali High who\'s a half to Dunkrik, #8 Erotic and #9 Fengari all within 1 point.

pk5 - 1,5,7,8,9/3,6,12/6/2,3,4,8,10,14/8

Race 2 - #6 Desolation Sound looks like a play for Sadler

Granted the two Baffy horses in the 3rd race are both logical but Giant Expectations could be in the mix 1st off the layoff at a price.  That Pat Obrien effort is good enough to win this if Collected gets pressured early (Accelerate?)

Race 5 - Fav #8 Spectre Bond looks strong but I\'m also going to use a bit of #6 Baby Bear\'s Soup.  Could also use #13 Well Measured underneath if that one gets in.

FG Race #8 - #5 Will Call - paired 6\'s and goes first turf which he\'s breed for.

Best of luck.
Title: Re: San Antonio
Post by: P-Dub on December 26, 2017, 01:09:54 PM
13-1 outstanding job
Title: Re: San Antonio
Post by: shanahan on December 26, 2017, 01:12:12 PM
I tip my hat to the analysis on this one.  Didn\'t see it at all.  If I\'d bet anyone with BB horses, it\'d been the 5.  
The question is can you now trust Mike Smith on a Baffert big fav?  I love Mike, but you have to be scratching your head, yes?  Accelerate, Collected,...interested to see how they do later in the card.

Still, I was wrong, analysis nice call.
Title: Re: San Antonio
Post by: belmont3 on December 26, 2017, 01:13:25 PM
Wow!

Terrific analysis!!
Title: Re: San Antonio (very nice)!
Post by: JoseOcon on December 26, 2017, 01:52:15 PM
Just tried this race with a nice bet !

After some hesitation,I got my ticket ! Amazing

Thanks