13 races, 9 winning favorites, 3 pick 4\'s & 2 pick 5\'s whose cumliative $2 payouts barely totaled $3,000.00
Some impressive performances, more questions than answers with Derby hopefuls and a record FOY day handle of 26.6 million.
On the inner tube front!
J Boy returns a healthy $14.80, why make a win bet when the $26 exacta was a gimme? No worries you\'re alive with 3 $10 pick 4\'s, 3/2, 3/5, 4/5 gets you a $2
Payout of $108.
OY VEY WHAT A DAY :)
Definitely a grind yesterday at the Gulf.
Don\'t fully understand figure making, it was very windy yesterday,how does that affect the number\'s?
Derby wide open,next week the west coast turn.
Well, Frankie Rainbow, the good news is that with Frankstro loading up the FOY
\"Day\" card with stakes, the Sunday GP card has a weekday feel to it, loaded as
it is with cheap grass racing, state bred races and maiden races. Large prices
likely to follow. (You forgot to mention in your chalk rundown that the Rainbow
6 paid $229 yesterday)(20 cent wager).
The opportunity of the day might be at Stronach Anita, where there is a $335K
carryover in the Pick FIVE Sunday.
A great* week on the Derby Trail with two legit contenders having to face minor
setbacks, two pretenders being unmasked yesterday. Maybe its time for me to
jump on the \"Rising Sun\" bandwagon....NOT! (Read yesterday that simulcast
wagering on the Derby will only be offered in Japan if there is a Japanese
horse in the starting gate.)
-------------
*\"Great\" maybe not the right word. But it was a week which reminds us why it is
sometimes foolish to get excited about young 3YOs.
At least this year we probably won\'t have a Derby super with the top four betting interests finishing 1-2-3-4. With new shooters still waiting on the east coast, and the west coast behind schedule, it should be a real crapshoot - and a shot at a payday.
Thought Suffused put in the run of day, especially given the distance. Why in God\'s name I tried to beat Heart to Heart is anyone\'s guess. Perfect distance and strip for him. Just dumb. The $96 super in the Celestine race was there for taking. But why bother, when you can play it safe and cash a $12 tri, WITH THE SAME HORSES.
Would like to see what Always Dreaming could do in a real race. The running style of the opener didn\'t fit with any of the others. Did it easy and finished up very quick. Timeline in the maiden regally bred, looked good winning 5 wide. Rachel\'s half didn\'t disgrace himself either. The filly maiden flattered by the clock as well.
Don\'t know what to make of the track. Every time I turned around they were watering. The mile filly race was slow, and finished very slow. Other than the first race, the only horse who came home at all was Gunny. Even Birdsong crawled home.
Wind was howling yesterday to the point it affected attendance.
Horses ran into the wind around the first turn and the backstretch.
It was starting to affect on how I handicap as I was looking for stalkers thinking they may draft going down the backstretch ala NASCAR.
FYI in the paddock IWC looked dull to me Gunnevera was best loooking
Johnny,
If you need a babysitter for FL Derby day?
Let me know, it would be cheaper to fly Richiebee down, buy his beverages, send over a couple of food trucks than yesterday was!!!
Think of all the things your children could learn that you never wanted them to?
FD
Interesting that Beyer has J Boys faster than Gunnevara. Probably closer to equal once you adjust for weight and ground. Off the horses, I would have guessed Gunnevara was faster.
Regarding the wind, I think TG has trackmen record it and then has a formula for making adjustments. Supplementing your question, I wonder if, because of the uncertain effect of the wind on the horses and on the moisture in the track, TGJB is more inclined to add or subtract points based on the horses?
That seems very odd. The Gotham went slower than the state-bred mares earlier on the card. Isabelle is a nice enough horse, but has stayed in restricted company. Gunny\'s was by far the fastest of the two-turn races - and stacks up well against the one-turn miles.
Edit: Looked at it again, and it\'s not crazy. Isabelle won by 12 over Genre, who is a grade 3 caliber filly. If the others in there run back to a typical 80 (BSF) then she gets about a 105. Same thing for the Gotham, roughly. Need a big jump for the two winners, but the alternative is everyone else really regressing.
Cloud computing definitely a horse to watch, with that effort on second asking. Interesting pedigree too.
Gotta say I was a bit surprised by that TG number for Gunny. He lost a bit of ground on the turns for sure and a move forward was expected given the pair of 3s - but that\'s a big jump to a big number. It does remind me some of the figs Upstart got on a dull GP track. That didn\'t work out so well for him. What do you do, train Gunny up to the Derby?
I have that race marked for review. Could be 1 1/2 slower, but it\'s probably right as is.
Good luck to anyone trying to do that day without using wind.
Where can one find the figures from FOY day?
Ty
John
I\'m assuming he bought a sheet on the winner, we didn\'t post them.
Without costing our host his livelihood Gunnerva ran an extreme new top. His sire
Dialed In does not have a large data base, his prodigy improve so far only one TG point from 2-3, let\'s just say he blew that away.
Gunnerva is either Secretariat or the latest Derby prep wonder that you\'ll not here much from again. IMHO IT,S 4/5 on B.
FD
Actually, he probably saw it in the TDN.
Thanks for the hint
TDN it was.
Just from memory, I think it was the the 2nd-best March prep figure TG has ever given (Smarty), and the 3rd-best of any prep (Bellamy Road). The March fig turned out better than the April one, so there\'s that.
Edit: Forgot Big Brown (technically March, but the last round of preps). I hear he did ok.
Sinister Minister.