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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: shanahan on February 20, 2017, 12:54:42 PM

Title: Razorback
Post by: shanahan on February 20, 2017, 12:54:42 PM
Top jock has no mount?  Really?
Like the Asmussen horse in the SouthWest...pains me to say that.
Title: Re: Razorback
Post by: FrankD. on February 20, 2017, 01:08:55 PM
Shanny,

You\'ve been looking at my crystal ball!!!

Banged heads with the big boys at 2, not disgraced, LAL develops 3 points from 2-3, the dam also improved the same in routes from 2-3, gets a point in weight from Uncontested who will be way over bet off a merry go round trip in the slop in the Smarty Jones. Asmussen brought this one over 12 days ago with GR, breezed over the track and been schooled in the paddock,

I\'m betting he\'s a bit closer to the pace today then he has been and could get a nice garden spot trip if he is?

Good luck,

Frank D.
Title: Re: Razorback
Post by: shanahan on February 20, 2017, 03:27:24 PM
Shut out at break, stunned he finished 3rd.  Like him even more now.  Winner weaving all over last 50 yards.
You in for derby April 15?
Title: Re: Razorback
Post by: ajkreider on February 20, 2017, 04:59:56 PM
Not sure about Looking at Lee.  He did get left, and was wide both turns, but the winner was wide too.  And the winner who was supposed to be distance challenged got him by 11+ lengths, while being up on pretty good pace.  The winner sure was weaving, but LAL wasn\'t straight as an arrow either.

Seems like LAL was just passing tired and distance-challenged horses.
Title: Re: Razorback
Post by: richiebee on February 20, 2017, 07:12:35 PM
AJ

I do not see any urgency in watching this particular race, or even looking at
the chart, because you and Shanno have done a good job of painting a picture of
this race. Or maybe two pictures.

In any case:

1) There are still eight days left in February

2 Haven\'t been following closely, but isn\'t the way it goes that Baffert ships
out Mastery or one of his other prospects for the Rebel. Then the Baffert Rebel
winner goes back west, and a different BBft prospect ships to OP for the Ark
Derby. Its fun because the Cal based horses will look slow on the TGs and as
James Caan\'s Sonny Corleone would say, Jimbo will take it \"very personally\".

Its interesting this year because the West Coast prospects have had to dance
around the raindrops, as did Affirmed in the winter of his Triple Crown season,
nearly 40 years ago.

Sire Redboard: have told many of the high esteem in which I have held Harlan\'s
Holiday; before his demise in 2013, he impressed me as a very versatile
(distance/surface) stallion. Today\'s Southwest winner is sired by the
Harlan\'s Holiday stallion Into Mischief, who stands at Spendthrift for 75K.
Title: Re: Razorback
Post by: swale on February 21, 2017, 11:32:15 AM
I have to think that Into Mischief\'s female family is more important in his case, as he\'s a half to Beholder (who is by the otherwise mediocre sure Henny Hughes).