We got a huge response to the Form Ratings free samples (couple hundred emails). A lot of the questions were redundant, so let\'s get them on this string. For starters, patterns are not considered, it\'s strictly a mechanical formula using recent figures.
We\'re putting one track a day up free on the site for Fri, Sat and Sunday.
Any idea on the free track for Saturday? Not wanting to duplicate a purchase of the form ratings off equibase.
Thanks
Aqu Friday, GP Saturday, SA Sunday.
Really impressed by the number and thoughtfulness of the responses, which are still coming in.
Not to mention that the results yesterday on the 3 complimentary tracks was quite nice!
In the 3rd at Aqueduct # 4 Chorus Line was an obvious play based on the ratings, good for an almost $40 Exacta. Not easy to do in a 5 horse field!
Same with the #3 Risetotheoccasion in the 7th. Highest rated goes off at 17-1 and completes the exacta with the 2nd highest rated winning. $87
Looks promising JB
Just for completeness, the 8th had the 1/2 finishers GAPPED by 9 lbs, for a 54.50 exacta.
9 lbs gap? I see 4
As I stated
103
99
90
9 lbs of gap to the third horse, which is the same as saying 9 lbs of gap for the top 2.
In the above referenced race, horse #4 Exclusive Strike is beginning its 10th year. The horse has been sliding down the claiming ladder for a couple of years with sort of a marauder\'s 2016 campaign.
While its logical that the gelding\'s value would be declining a TG analysis of the race would consider age and campaign if only slightly.
So I begin to wonder is Form Rating just math, or just Human intelligence making meaning of data or a hybrid.
The horse has an 11 lb advantage in the form rating which I suspect relates back to some previously better performances than will be needed today.
Oops I should have read the introduction first and then contemplated it before expressing my curiosity.
Again-- it\'s strictly mechanical. The judgement came only in making the figures and the formula. It\'s not handicapping, it\'s strictly a general power rating based on recent form. If there was handicapping involved it wouldn\'t be a $10 product.
Thanks!
So as those who took today\'s freebie know, the top rated horses at SA are doing pretty well so far-- 8 races, 6 won by the top rated horse, including at least two which were not the favorite. One of the remaining two races was won by a first time starter, who of course did not have a rating.
We\'re going to start selling these things later this week.
I\'m going to be using the Form ratings (& DRF PP\'s) tomorrow at Gulfstream. At first glance, there are one or 2 that I wasnt going to play but now must, and at least a few that I had considered using but will not. Unless of course I expand my bankroll early in the card...
On another note, NYRABETS and XPressBet are running promotions that refund your money on a win bet if your horse runs 2nd and in the case of Xpressbet, 2nd or third. Granted its not a lot of $$ (capped at $25) but it does let me go a little deeper. That said, any thoughts on the best way to play? Maybe go lighter in the p4 on secondary tickets?
Good luck all!
I was only interested in playing p5 and P4 tickets, using top rated horses and favorites who were contenders, and who I though might jump up. Except I didnt.
4 of the top 5 winners in the p5 were the highest rated horse, Suffused not being on of them. Did not use Tahgleeb, was heavy towards to 4 and 11. Oh well ...