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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: shanahan on January 06, 2017, 06:58:55 AM

Title: ROTW - doing one this week?
Post by: shanahan on January 06, 2017, 06:58:55 AM
anyone?
Title: Re: ROTW - doing one this week?
Post by: TGJB on January 06, 2017, 09:50:20 AM
We\'ll get back to you...
Title: Re: ROTW - doing one this week?
Post by: shanahan on January 06, 2017, 11:05:34 AM
assume that is facetious for some reason I missed, JB?
Title: Re: ROTW - doing one this week?
Post by: TGJB on January 06, 2017, 12:24:57 PM
No, we\'ll figure it out later.
Title: Re: ROTW - doing one this week?
Post by: TGJB on January 06, 2017, 12:53:05 PM
Probably the Sham.
Title: Re: ROTW - doing one this week?
Post by: johnnym on January 06, 2017, 05:05:56 PM
Very cool thanks
Title: Re: ROTW - doing one this week?
Post by: Edgorman on January 06, 2017, 07:21:01 PM
Awesome.
Sam the Sham and the American Pharoahs.
Wooly Bully.
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: Tavasco on January 07, 2017, 03:10:30 AM
Some Considerations:

1. Could be the 4 hurt GORMLEY and he is heading in the wrong direction. I saw his BC flop as more than just a poor start. He will have plenty of company up front in the SHAM.

2. COLONEL SAMSEN his delay in the stretch during his last race isn\'t reflected in his fourth 11. I\'ll speculate and subtract a point to 10 suggesting to me he is improving. With little or no traffic at the rear of the pack unlikely to lose much ground. Likely to run his race and 4th would be OK super. Dirt is a concern.

3. BIRD IS THE WORD, the Analysis key for 3rd makes good sense. Yet, leading a turf race all the way around in :48 and change is not as taxing as going sub :46 consequently I don\'t think the BIRD will be a player in the stretch or Tri and I wonder how much value a 3rd will actually produce behind two 8/5 horses?

I\'ll try the analysis bet because it is a mathematically elegant solution to a race I seem to want to make more complicated. So my shotgun bet will be AMERICAN ANTHEM / BIG HIT / All / COLONEL SAMSEN
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: Tavasco on January 07, 2017, 03:45:36 PM
Even well conceived plans don\'t always work.

Big Hit ruins the analysis tri, but 170/1 super not shabby in a two horse race.

Nice read TG, as usual.