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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: jerry on November 05, 2016, 04:38:18 PM

Title: BC Mile
Post by: jerry on November 05, 2016, 04:38:18 PM
I was never here.
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: Tavasco on November 05, 2016, 05:05:10 PM
I too am a student of bettor psychology but I don\'t want to know what Tyler Baze was thinking.
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: jerry on November 05, 2016, 05:07:39 PM
He was back at Golden Gate.
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: P-Dub on November 05, 2016, 05:30:30 PM
Tavasco Wrote:
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> I too am a student of bettor psychology but I
> don\'t want to know what Tyler Baze was thinking.


Tell you what I\'m thinking.

This Thorograph stuff is pretty cool. Tourist should have made everyone\'s day.
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: RICH on November 05, 2016, 05:32:44 PM
all I can say is it made the year and we aint done
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: TGJB on November 05, 2016, 05:33:29 PM
Tell you what I\'M thinking. He was 30-1 all week in England and I couldn\'t find a way to get down. Did pretty good, but still.

One of our guys is friends with Mott, I asked him to tell him if the horse was 2w2w he was a 5/2 shot.
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: jerry on November 05, 2016, 08:28:21 PM
Easier to say now. The last time he ran that fast he bounced 4 pts. What did you do with the others coming out of the Keeneland race?
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: jimbo66 on November 05, 2016, 08:35:55 PM
Huh?

Tourist came in with 3 straight zeros.   No 4 point backward moves
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: P-Dub on November 05, 2016, 08:48:24 PM
jerry Wrote:
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> Easier to say now. The last time he ran that fast
> he bounced 4 pts. What did you do with the others
> coming out of the Keeneland race?


No, he didn\'t.

The last time he ran that number he backed up a point.  That\'s not really a \"bounce\', and it clearly didn\'t knock him out.

Who would you have played instead? Tepin? At a 1/3 of the price? You could say the same thing about her, what does she do off of a negative number? Backs up a little. She ran 2nd.

The Euros? At odds nowhere close to Tourist? Midnight Storm going a mile out of PP13?

Tourist was 14-1 for most of the wagering, 12-1 when they loaded.  If you bought the analysis, he was the very clear horse to play. So actually, yeah. It was easy to say before the race, during the race, and after the race.

What did I do with the others out of that race?  It depends on what the ran and what their pattern looked like. Tourist was the play. Sorry if you didn\'t have it.

Looking at the numbers and the odds, tell me what were better options?

The analysis was outstanding both days.
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: jerry on November 06, 2016, 04:24:56 AM
I was looking at the 2 Keeneland races last year. He went negative -1- before bouncing to a -4. This year he went negative back in June and regressed 1pt. next out. He\'d regressed in the past after going negative and I was expecting him to do the same yestareday. We\'ll see what the figures say when they come out.
Title: Re: BC Mile
Post by: jerry on November 06, 2016, 06:51:12 PM
Well, if my read is the quickest all tapped out at Keeneland, I\'m looking for a horse who hasn\'t. I went with Ken Blacks horse, What a View. Second off a layoff, I bet he\'d move back to his 0 and, with his early speed and a ground saving trip, a 0 would be enough to at least crack the super. I took him at 45-1. Baze going to the whip straight out of the gate and hanging a sub .45 half crashed that fantasy but that was my thinking.