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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: boardedup on October 01, 2016, 11:00:13 AM

Title: Joe Hirsch
Post by: boardedup on October 01, 2016, 11:00:13 AM
With Twilight Eclipse running his worst number of his career 3 years ago on yielding turf at Belmont, and not running on it since I feel comfortable assuming his best won\'t be seen today.

The 4 has a few bad outings on the off going as well and isn\'t that good regardless imo.

The 1 on the other hand has consistently ran his race on soft turf.  He has plenty of races on turf listed soft and it hasn\'t seemed to bother him in the least.  He appears to be in the best form of his career coming in and I think a new top is possible today.

If Flintshire runs back to his \"soft\" numbers and the 1 runs a (big!) new top he might have a shot.  I realize trying to beat the best is likely a waste of money, but I really do think the TAP will fire today, 3rd of the form cycle, pointing to this race, and he doesn\'t mind it soft.  I\'ll take a shot using him on the first and second lines.
Title: Re: Joe Hirsch
Post by: Molesap on October 01, 2016, 12:08:37 PM
With an off surface and likely being the controlling speed, Ectot could run a number that is competitive, especially given that none of the others have to like the surface the way it is today. Maybe worth a shot and a saver with Fintshire on top of an exacta.
Title: Re: Joe Hirsch
Post by: Tavasco on October 01, 2016, 12:30:18 PM
That\'s a some good capping!