I agree with the ROTW completely today and appreciate the FP love by the writer. Before I even looked at the ROTW, I had texted a friend last night that he would be 7-5 not his m/l so I think that will be very close. Obviously, I\'m not sharing a huge tip on a 10-1 shot but I will share what I know.
I\'ll just add Becker told me two weeks ago on the 21st that this one was ready to go. 3 of the last 4 works not only bullets at Fairmount Park but blazing fast for workouts there. I\'ll be shocked if he doesn\'t at least hit the exacta. Hogy won the Hanshin in 2013 and ran in the Hanshin in \'14 and \'15. Becker ran Valiant City in the Hanshin this year and finished 3rd off a similar layoff to Hogy but told me he knew VC needed a race but there was no race that would fill for him anywhere prior to the Hanshin. Hogy worked out that morning in 47 1/5 and Becker said he is ready to go. He worked him Tuesday as you can see and he runs at CD today.
I\'ll be using him prominently in a large monetary but narrow p3 to complete the card and play a smaller p3 using the other one mentioned in the ROTW who lost to the fastest sprinter at OP this winter and was no match on the front end and understandably so.
EDIT: The other one has scratched so you must look to his stablemate that remains in the race for the same trainer.
Best of luck!
It was very hard for me to come up with something to bet against Hogy. Ran and beat way tougher than these all last year.
Here\'s the best that I could come up with: All the speed is 1-8. Conceivably, Miguel Mena (1.7 path on turf) could have a shot to take up the rail with Shadow Rock. Hogy looks super to me and Rocco (2.2 path) will probably keep the favorite wide and out of trouble, and he very possibly will have circle a ton of horses.
There\'s a window open for Shadow Rock to be 3 or 4 paths inside of Hogy with a chance to steal this.
But if Hogy stays at 4-1, you\'re bat shit for not taking it.