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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: JoseOcon on May 19, 2016, 09:57:31 PM

Title: Pletcher Horses
Post by: JoseOcon on May 19, 2016, 09:57:31 PM
Kinsley Kisses & Stradivari will be at good odds...

Both lacking experience... Hope JV has a good racing weekend :)
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: jerry on May 20, 2016, 10:53:14 PM
Stradivari will be half his morning line.
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: P-Dub on May 20, 2016, 11:50:31 PM
jerry Wrote:
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> Stradivari will be half his morning line.


No way.

Nyquist and Exaggerator are taking a ton of money.  Stradivari will be a lot closer to his 8/1 ML than 4/1.
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: Topcat on May 21, 2016, 01:06:00 AM
Unless one of the top two scratches, hard to imagine Strad going off <6-1 . . . that post is brutal, and if he doesn\'t flat-love the surface as it exists at post time . . .
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: jerry on May 21, 2016, 05:02:31 PM
I stand corrected. I thought 8-1 was more than a fair price. I bet him. I was wrong.
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: TGJB on May 21, 2016, 05:28:09 PM
Wide...
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: HP on May 21, 2016, 05:36:13 PM
Jerry you did nothing wrong betting the violin at 8-1.  He could have been anything coming into this race, and could easily have vaulted ahead of the top two betting choices off his last race.
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: jerry on May 21, 2016, 07:12:11 PM
He was the only value in the race that I could find. Rub is JV wanted to take him outside of horses but he couldn\'t get there and had to drop in behind horses. Horse got mud in his face, got rank and spent himself fighting the bit. He\'ll be back.
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: TempletonPeck on May 21, 2016, 09:52:57 PM
Yeah I wouldn\'t curse myself for betting on this horse at 8/1 (in fact, I won\'t!). He needed things to break a certain way given his 11 post, they didn\'t break that way, life goes on. You got 8/1 on the proposition, that means even if your\'e *crushing* the market you still lose what, 7 out of 9 trials?
Title: Re: Pletcher Horses
Post by: jbelfior on May 22, 2016, 04:54:57 AM
He\'s a good one. Ran his eyeballs out Jerry.

Good Luck,
Joe B.