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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: ringato3 on May 16, 2016, 04:58:23 PM

Title: Black Eyed Susans
Post by: ringato3 on May 16, 2016, 04:58:23 PM
Time to make the host happy and talk figures.  Plus, for those that still want to take a shot at Nyquist in the Preakness, there is the Black Eyed Susans / Preakness double.

Quick question for handicappers out there regarding Go Maggie vs Land Over Sea.  

Which filly do you prefer in the Preakness.  

1.  Go Maggie, only having 3 starts, having paired her 5 with a troubled trip in the Oaks.  A horse that likes to run near the lead got shut off at the start and didn\'t sulk, instead came with a late run, not threatening the winner, but pretty close with the next group.

2.  Land Over Sea, now having paired her 3 in the Oaks, could be set for a forward move.  Already has number power in her favor.

I realize there are others in the race and have to look at their sheets when the data comes out, but the top two choices are the ones above and it appears to me to be an interesting handicapping choice with two fillies likely to go off at roughly the same odds.  The former has raced less, in theory has more upside and earned her pair up under adverse conditions last time.  That said, coming back on 2 weeks for a filly with less experience is not a good thing.  The latter is less likely to have significant short term upside but has number power in her favor going into the race.  

Thoughts?

Rob
Title: Re: Black Eyed Susans
Post by: jp702006 on May 16, 2016, 06:01:29 PM
Not sure there is much money to be made in the verticals here. I\'ll probably just use these 2 in the horizontals and hope to catch better priced horses in the other legs.

Patrick
Title: Re: Black Eyed Susans
Post by: bellsbendboy on May 16, 2016, 06:35:37 PM
I would be leaning against both to win, yet have no knowledge of who else  in the sure to be, big field. Always best to \'cap with an open mind, with the most data available.  Post, pace, conditions, weight, class, etc. bbb
Title: Re: Black Eyed Susans
Post by: Tavasco on May 16, 2016, 09:07:19 PM
I still remember the move she made @ the FG and it shouted Fit Fit Fit to me.

To pair that figure in the Oaks suggests to me that she is on parallel schedule/program to Nyquist. i.e. O\'Neil applying some commonality.

The Oaks winner was just too good on that day. I expect Land Over Sea to run her race in MD and I believe that will be hard to beat. Price c/b fair albeit short.