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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: johnnym on April 22, 2016, 06:45:19 PM

Title: Half mile time
Post by: johnnym on April 22, 2016, 06:45:19 PM
Over under 46 3/5
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: TempletonPeck on April 22, 2016, 11:56:17 PM
Under for the limit, and let me know what the new line is.
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: Topcat on April 23, 2016, 02:37:25 AM
\"Under\", here, may not be the ideal reference term, under the circumstances? Do we mean faster -- or slower?
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: joemama on April 23, 2016, 04:59:14 AM
Assuming that under means faster and over means slower, then I\'d go with the over.
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: johnnym on April 23, 2016, 05:08:04 AM
Sorry for the bad wording.
Faster or Slower than 46 3/5
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: jbelfior on April 23, 2016, 06:02:39 AM
Impossible to predict with a 20 horse gate. Who thought Shackleford would go :48?

For me, DC would have to be in the 25-1 or better range to prove that he can get a 1 1/4 doing all the work. Who looked better than Dortmund winning the SA Derby last year and going into the far turn at CD after a :47 and change?

Takes a special kind.


Good Luck,
Joe B
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: big18741 on April 23, 2016, 06:17:43 AM
The horses that finished ahead of Dortmund had to run a -3 and a -1.

Not saying DC or Outwork is capable of running their tops in the Derby but if either runs the 1 saving ground you feel really good about a horse in the field firing a 0 or better?

Firing Line was in off a pair of 1\'s
AP 1\'s and a -1

None of these horses have put two fast ones together yet.
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: jbelfior on April 23, 2016, 06:27:27 AM
I don\'t think DC or Outwork could have warmed up a horse like Dortmund this time last year.
Don\'t think anyone in this field is firing a 0 or better nor do I think DC or Outwork are running a 1. Too much too soon.


Good Luck,
Joe B
Title: Re: Half mile time
Post by: johnnym on April 23, 2016, 08:28:31 AM
Agree none of the horses this year have the class of last years bunch.
Nyquist would of been what betting choice last year?
A thought,any chance Nyquist did not like the track at Gulfstream on Fl Derby day?