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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: TGJB on April 18, 2016, 11:55:02 AM

Title: Race Shape
Post by: TGJB on April 18, 2016, 11:55:02 AM
Did a quick preliminary one, it shows Outwork and Danzing well clear of the others. Of course, they both come out of races with hot paces, which skews things a little.

I\'m going to save the rest for the seminar.
Title: Re: Race Shape
Post by: jp702006 on April 18, 2016, 01:22:57 PM
I think that Nyquist, Gunrunner and Lani stalk and get first run. We\'ll see what Nyquist is made of coming out of the turn.........
Title: Re: Race Shape
Post by: justwin on April 18, 2016, 01:24:12 PM
Destin will be part of the pack that gets first run too.
Title: Re: Race Shape
Post by: big18741 on April 18, 2016, 01:45:59 PM
Not too sure about Lani but three thru seven on paper off the top of my head in no particular order:

Nyquist
Gun Runner
Destin
Mohaymen
Mor Spirit

Exaggerator is versatile going back to last year but he\'s been far back in his last two route races.
Title: Re: Race Shape
Post by: ajkreider on April 18, 2016, 02:12:58 PM
Mor Spirit a big wild card here.  Three solid efforts while his peers in those have been all over the map.  Could see him the longest odds of those you list -  real value I think.
Title: Re: Race Shape
Post by: johnnym on April 18, 2016, 04:21:46 PM
Agree on the top flight, I am expecting D.Candy to fold first.
I also agree regarding the second flight, who moves first will depend on path and position.
Mor Spirit I will be using him underneath.

With all the closers in the field,ye who loses the least ground may well win the race.
What a bad year for Calvin to retire.