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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Ill-bred on April 07, 2016, 08:12:39 AM

Title: Thoro-pattern Bluegrass Stakes
Post by: Ill-bred on April 07, 2016, 08:12:39 AM
I am surprised to see the Thoro-pattern likes big jump-up horses such as Donegal Moon and Cards of Stone. Makes them both 40% or more to run ANOTHER top!? And u can add in another 20+% chance of pairing...

Is there something wrong with the formula? What am I missing?

These don\'t seem like trustworthy development lines.
Title: Re: Thoro-pattern Bluegrass Stakes
Post by: TGJB on April 07, 2016, 11:09:58 AM
Read the explanatory material for the Thoro-Patterns.
Title: Re: Thoro-pattern Bluegrass Stakes
Post by: Ill-bred on April 07, 2016, 11:21:04 AM
Ok thanks, I read it again...

Probably already on your radar--I think u guys could improve the Thoro-Pattern figure to fit more specific circumstances, making it more applicable to more horses.

The way I read the product explanation, the Thoro-Pattern is being supplied for tons of horses on which the %s can\'t be taken at face value.
Title: Re: Thoro-pattern Bluegrass Stakes
Post by: TGJB on April 07, 2016, 11:52:16 AM
The more specific you make it, the smaller the sample size, the less the percentages can be trusted. It\'s a balancing act.